Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#139
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#107
Pace71.1#119
Improvement+1.4#120

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#139
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.6#215

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#139
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.0#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2017 127   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 87-98 36%     0 - 1 -5.8 +2.6 +2.6
  Nov 16, 2017 72   South Carolina W 69-65 28%     1 - 1 +11.6 +3.8 +3.8
  Nov 17, 2017 61   Boise St. L 64-82 25%     1 - 2 -9.4 +4.3 +4.3
  Nov 19, 2017 98   Tulsa W 84-68 37%     2 - 2 +21.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Nov 25, 2017 248   Charleston Southern L 62-64 OT 82%     2 - 3 -10.2 -4.1 -4.1
  Nov 29, 2017 35   @ Nevada L 68-98 12%     2 - 4 -15.5 +7.2 +7.2
  Dec 02, 2017 98   Tulsa W 65-58 48%     3 - 4 +9.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Dec 06, 2017 80   @ BYU L 68-80 21%     3 - 5 -2.1 +4.9 +4.9
  Dec 09, 2017 75   Murray St. L 72-78 39%     3 - 6 -1.7 +2.2 +2.2
  Dec 16, 2017 100   @ Mississippi W 101-97 OT 27%     4 - 6 +12.0 +4.0 +4.0
  Dec 19, 2017 199   Illinois-Chicago W 71-70 74%     5 - 6 -4.3 -2.7 -2.7
  Dec 23, 2017 147   @ Evansville W 72-66 40%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +10.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Dec 31, 2017 157   Indiana St. W 84-81 OT 64%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +0.7 -1.1 -1.1
  Jan 03, 2018 162   @ Drake L 62-87 42%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -21.5 +1.7 +1.7
  Jan 07, 2018 124   Missouri St. W 72-68 58%     8 - 7 3 - 1 +3.4 -0.3 -0.3
  Jan 10, 2018 55   Loyola Chicago L 61-68 32%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -0.5 +3.2 +3.2
  Jan 13, 2018 142   @ Southern Illinois L 70-74 39%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +0.3 +2.1 +2.1
  Jan 17, 2018 131   Bradley W 70-57 60%     9 - 9 4 - 3 +12.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 20, 2018 157   @ Indiana St. L 54-84 41%     9 - 10 4 - 4 -26.3 +1.9 +1.9
  Jan 24, 2018 123   @ Northern Iowa L 72-83 35%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -5.4 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 27, 2018 155   Valparaiso W 76-65 64%     10 - 11 5 - 5 +8.9 -1.1 -1.1
  Jan 30, 2018 124   @ Missouri St. W 76-60 35%     11 - 11 6 - 5 +21.5 +2.7 +2.7
  Feb 03, 2018 147   Evansville W 75-71 63%     12 - 11 7 - 5 +2.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 08, 2018 142   Southern Illinois W 76-68 OT 62%     13 - 11 8 - 5 +6.3 -0.9 -0.9
  Feb 11, 2018 155   @ Valparaiso L 58-74 41%     13 - 12 8 - 6 -12.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 14, 2018 131   @ Bradley L 58-70 37%     13 - 13 8 - 7 -7.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Feb 17, 2018 123   Northern Iowa W 79-75 58%     14 - 13 9 - 7 +3.5 -0.2 -0.2
  Feb 21, 2018 162   Drake W 89-81 OT 65%     15 - 13 10 - 7 +5.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Feb 24, 2018 55   @ Loyola Chicago L 61-68 15%     15 - 14 10 - 8 +5.5 +6.3 +6.3
  Mar 02, 2018 157   Indiana St. W 77-70 53%     16 - 14 +7.7 +0.4 +0.4
  Mar 03, 2018 142   Southern Illinois W 76-68 OT 51%     17 - 14 +9.3 +0.6 +0.6
  Mar 04, 2018 55   Loyola Chicago L 49-65 22%     17 - 15 -6.5 +4.7 +4.7
Projected Record 17.0 - 15.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%